The MMA Draw Newsletter

The MMA Draw Newsletter

UFC 326: Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira picks and predictions

See who we think will win in the T-Mobile Arena this weekend.

Tim Bissell's avatar
Tim Bissell
Mar 06, 2026
∙ Paid
UFC 326 - Las Vegas - T-Mobile Arena - Sat, Mar 7, 2026, 02:00 PM - AXS US

The latest UFC PLE is upon us!

UFC 326 goes down at the T-Mobile on Saturday and that silly little BMF thing is on the line. Vying for the plastic belt are Max Holloway and Charles Oliveira. Hopefully no one tears an internal organ during this one (unlike what happened when they fought back in Saskatchewan in 2015).

The rest of the card is very mid, frankly. The co-main is two guys coming off losses, Caio Borralho vs. Reinier de Ridder. Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr., Drew Dober vs. Michael Johnson and Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira rounds out the main card.

The prelims are headlined by Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long. There’s a few hot prospects on the rest of the undercard, namely Donte Johnson and Luke Fernandez.

You can see who we picked below.

Last week we did great. Collectively we went 13-5, when you look at which fighter or round total got the most picks from us. Miguel and I also went 13-5 on our own. William went 14-4, though.

Miguel and I remain in first and second spot, thanks to us getting our lock picks right last week, too.

Scroll down to see who we are going with for those all important locks this week.

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Max Holloway (-220) vs. Charles Oliveira (+170)

Miguel: I adore both of these fighters and have been fans of both of them for more than a decade now. And really, who doesn’t love these two? But the pick here is clear for me. Oliveira is dangerous in every phase and Holloway’s legendary chin is finally starting to show cracks, but overall Holloway should be able to run away with the fight on the feet. Max has become one of the best outfighters in the sport and while letting Oliveira be the one to come forward carries its risks, the craftiness of his combinations and proven ability to work around a high guard means that he should be lancing Oliveira constantly with straight shots through the guard and piercing body shots. …

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