The MMA Draw Newsletter

The MMA Draw Newsletter

UFC Vegas 118: Muhammad vs. Bonfim picks and predictions

See who we think will win this weekend in the APEX.

Tim Edwards's avatar
Tim Edwards
Jun 05, 2026
∙ Paid

The UFC is at the White House next week. I’m sure you’re sick of hearing about that. Before they get there, though, they’ve got a little APEX show to run this weekend. And, despite being totally under the radar, it’s not half bad.

The main event is Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim. Muhammad was the Welterweight champ just over a year ago. And Bonfim has a highlight to rival anyone.

The co-main is Brendan Allen, an important figure in the Middleweight division, taking on the streaking Edmen Shahbazyan. The main card also has Iwo Baraniewski, who might be the most exciting man in MMA right now. He’s got Junior Tafa and they should put on a show.

There’s also Santiago Luna vs. Bryce Mitchell, Edgar Chairez vs. Bruno Silva and Fares Ziam vs. Tom Nolan. Those are all great match-ups.

We’ve looked at all the fights and made our picks. Check those out below.

Last week we all did pretty well. Steph led the way with her 10-2 record. We all hit our lock picks last week, too, which means no one was able to make too much ground on me at the top. If I miss a couple of these, though, I could get bounced down a few rungs. Last week I had Sergei Pavlovich as my lock and he delivered (in about 30 seconds).

See who I’m picking this week, below.

Leader board

UFC Vegas 118 Picks

Belal Muhammad (-112) vs. Gabriel Bonfim (-108)

Picking Muhammad: William Watts, Kristen King, Tim Edwards

Picking Bonfim: Miguel Class, Nate Wilcox, Blaine Henry

Brendan Allen (-192) vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (+250)

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